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Bayesian Semi-parametric Analysis for Locomotive Wheel Degradation using Gamma Frailties
Luleå tekniska universitet, Drift, underhåll och akustik.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-7458-6820
Luleå tekniska universitet, Drift, underhåll och akustik.
Ansvarig organisation
2015 (Engelska)Ingår i: Proceedings of the Institution of mechanical engineers. Part F, journal of rail and rapid transit, ISSN 0954-4097, E-ISSN 2041-3017, Vol. 229, nr 3, s. 237-247Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

A reliability study based on a Bayesian semi-parametric framework is performed in order to explore the impact of the position of a locomotive wheel on its service lifetime and to predict its other reliability characteristics. A piecewise constant hazard regression model is used to analyse the lifetime of locomotive wheels using degradation data and taking into account the bogie on which the wheel is located. Gamma frailties are included in this study to explore unobserved covariates within the same group. The goal is to flexibly determine reliability for the wheel. A case study is performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and the following conclusions are drawn. First, a polynomial degradation path is a better choice for the studied locomotive wheels; second, under given operational conditions, the position of the locomotive wheel, i.e. on which bogie it is mounted, can influence its reliability; third, a piecewise constant hazard regression model can be used to undertake reliability studies; fourth, considering gamma frailties is useful for exploring the influence of unobserved covariates; and fifth, the wheels have a higher failure risk after running a threshold distance, a finding which could be applied in optimisation of maintenance activities

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
2015. Vol. 229, nr 3, s. 237-247
Nationell ämneskategori
Annan samhällsbyggnadsteknik
Forskningsämne
FOI-portföljer, Strategiska initiativ
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:trafikverket:diva-5821DOI: 10.1177/0954409713508759ISI: 000350119100002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84923324837Lokalt ID: 7c47144b-53a0-4353-9936-5add9871f00bOAI: oai:DiVA.org:trafikverket-5821DiVA, id: diva2:1738299
Projekt
JVTC
Forskningsfinansiär
Trafikverket, TRV 2011/58769
Anmärkning

Validerad; 2015; Nivå 2; 20130923 (linjan)

Tillgänglig från: 2023-02-21 Skapad: 2023-02-21 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-09-04Bibliografiskt granskad

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Lin, JingAsplund, Matthias

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