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The welfare-maximizing discount rate in a small open economy
Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, Transportekonomi, TEK.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4209-1997
Responsible organisation
2022 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The controversy about what approach is best for calculating the social discount rate for public investments is both long standing and heated. Two main approaches are the social time preference and the social opportunity cost approaches. Complicating issues are tax wedges, the question of whether public investments crowd out current private consumption or private saving, and the possibility of myopic behavior among individuals. This study uses a model that takes these issues into account to derive the discount rate that optimizes welfare in a small open economy. The result is that even if individuals have behavioral preferences differing from the normative preferences of the social planner and even if tax wedges exist, the optimal discount rate is the pre-tax market return on capital, as long as individuals are forward looking and consistent in their behavioral preferences, and their choices are not constrained by, for example, liquidity restrictions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Stockholm: Statens väg- och transportforskningsinstitut, 2022. , p. 35
Series
Trafikverkets forskningsportföljer
Series
Working Papers, Swedish National Road & Transport Research Institute
Keywords [en]
Discounting; Tax wedge; Social time preference; Social opportunity cost
National Category
Economics
Research subject
FOI-portföljer, Planera
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:trafikverket:diva-16140OAI: oai:DiVA.org:trafikverket-16140DiVA, id: diva2:1883277
Projects
Diskontering i en liten öppen ekonomi
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration, TRV 2019/98242Available from: 2024-07-09 Created: 2024-07-09 Last updated: 2024-07-09

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Asplund, Disa

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf